APRIL 25, 2005
Postal Reform
Updated March 25, 2005
Nye Stevens
Government and Finance Division
Congressional Research Service (CRS)
Causes of the Financial Crisis
Should the Postal Service Compete?
Causes of the (Postal Service) Financial Crisis
While there are
differences among the stakeholders in emphasis, the
following factors have been identified as being in part
responsible for the financial crisis of 2001-2002, and the
present precarious state of the enterprise:
! The economic slowdown
that began in early 2001 cut into USPS revenues from the
dominant business segment, and (temporarily, as it turned
out) reduced advertising mail, which accounts for 25% of
revenues. Costs continue to rise, however, since 1.7 million
delivery points are added each year, built-in wage and
cost-of-living increases add $2 billion per year, and USPS
is particularly vulnerable to energy price spikes.
!
The rate determination
process is cumbersome and rigid, preventing USPS from
aligning its offerings with the variable needs of its
customers. Preparations for a rate case begin many months
before a filing with the Postal Rate Commission (PRC) and
USPS must estimate costs and demand nearly two years into
the future. The adversarial process of contesting proposed
rates and classes goes on for 10 months, with exchanges of
tons of paperwork and hundreds of hours of testimony. USPS
competitors are very active participants. The emphasis is on
allocating stated costs among mail classes rather than
reducing costs or encouraging demand. USPS complains that
the process gives it no opportunity to respond to
competition, to vary rates with the season or periods of low
usage, to negotiate rates with big mailers, or to price
products in accordance with demand, rather than costs of
service.
! Three rate increases
in an 18-month period drove some mailers to curtail volume
in order to stay within set budgets, and made the
comparative cost of alternatives — such as newspapers,
television, and e-mail for advertising— more attractive.
! Competition from
other providers and other media had begun to marginalize
some of the services that USPS provides. E-mail, fax
transmission, and cell phones without distance charges have
become substitutes for written correspondence. The Internet
is becoming increasingly popular as an alternative for
financial billing and payment, which sustained USPS volume
and revenue growth through the 1990s. USPS is already a
secondary player in the overnight express and package
delivery markets, except for the most difficult and costly
routes to service in Alaska and Hawaii.
! Labor costs of its
nearly 800,000 employees accounted for over three-fourths of
USPS expenses, not much less than was the case decades ago.
In contrast, labor costs are 56% of United Parcel Service’s
expenses, and 42% of costs at FedEx, where only the pilots
are unionized. Lagging productivity growth (11% in 30
years), a backlog of 146,000 pending or appealed labor
grievances that are pursued “on the clock,” and binding
arbitration of disputes keep labor costs high. Costly
government annual and sick leave, early retirement, and
health benefits are set in law and not negotiable.
! Facilities are not
optimally located for efficient distribution, since USPS has
been unable to close existing facilities and consolidate
operations in new locations. USPS maintains that over half
its 38,000 facilities do not generate enough revenues to
cover their costs, and complains that political
considerations prevent it from modernizing its retail and
distribution system.
!
The use of mail to deliver
agents of bio-terror (anthrax, followed by ricin) imposed
major new mail security and operational costs on USPS.
Although USPS received some emergency funds to cope with the
new demands in
FY2002,
its requests for further funding to respond to the threat of
bioterrorism through the mail have not been included in the
President’s budget and have only partially been met by
Congress.
The American Postal
Workers Union (APWU) has been a vocal proponent of another
ascribed cause for the postal financial predicament. The
APWU told Congress in May 2002 that the “Postal Service’s
financial crisis is directly attributable to the $12 billion
in postage discounts it gives annually to major mailers and
direct mail firms for pre-sorting their mail. The discounts
equal significantly more than the costs the Postal Service
avoids when it receives pre-sorted mail, and they amount to
huge subsidies for the major mailers and direct mail firms.”
APWU believes that at least some of this revenue could be
recovered if the work were brought back in-house.
Should the Postal
Service Compete?
USPS
itself (in its Transformation Plan), its unions, and many
mailers’ organizations believe that the survival of the
Postal Service depends on the institution’s ability to
compete in active or developing markets, because the
services it provides under its statutory monopoly are a
declining business. Another school of thought, however,
rejects the notion that USPS should
compete with private sector companies who are able to
provide services within the market economy.
There
are several thrusts to the argument. One relates to
fairness. USPS has many advantages stemming from its
governmental status. It pays no federal, state, or local
taxes on its income, sales, purchases, or property. Unlike
private sector companies, it is immune from most forms of
regulation, such as zoning, land use restrictions, motor
vehicle registration, parking tickets, and antitrust. It is
also able to borrow money at the lowest possible rate
because it does so through the U.S. Treasury. Companies
facing competition from USPS argue that these factors put
them at a great disadvantage (though they tend to ignore the
statutory constraints and regulation by the PRC that USPS
faces).
A second
argument is based on concepts of economic efficiency.
Because of its indirect subsidies such as freedom from
taxation and regulation, and because its goal is to break
even rather than earn a competitive rate of return, USPS has
less incentive than private sector entities to use capital
and labor resources efficiently. Subsidies make government
products and service seem artificially cheap, resulting in
an over-allocation of resources that could be used to
produce greater benefits elsewhere in the economy. Economic
theory maintains that such a mis-allocation reduces national
economic welfare below that achieved by a competitive
market. When private sector companies produce and sell a
product or service, there is some benefit to society from
the taxes that result, a benefit not gained when the
government produces the same product or service.
Finally,
there is substantial evidence that USPS is not a very adept
competitor. GAO has issued several reports of failed
commercial ventures by USPS. In 1997, for example, USPS had
discontinued or was losing money on 15 of 19 new products,
resulting in a net loss of $85 million. UPS and FedEx have
both established profitable delivery networks in markets
where USPS tries to compete but is now a relatively minor
player.
One policy prescription
leading from this diagnosis is that USPS should stick to its
monopoly business and not seek to grow at the expense of
private sector competitors. Indeed, some would like to see
the postal monopoly reduced to “the last mile” of delivery,
opening up collection, sorting, and transportation to market
competition.
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